Guyana’s oil boom examined in Harvard International Review

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A recent Harvard International Review journal entry by William Mao has shed light on the potential for Guyana to harness its newfound oil wealth for sustainable development. While concerns loom over the challenges posed by the oil boom, Mao’s review outlines crucial strategies that could guide Guyana toward a prosperous and climate-resilient future.

The first strategy highlighted by Mao was investing in infrastructure. He said this entails directing a portion of the oil windfalls towards essential sectors such as healthcare, education, road development, and climate protection. Already, Guyana has taken significant steps in this direction. 

The country has initiated projects to build 12 hospitals, multiple schools, seven hotels, two large highways, and major port projects. Additionally, a substantial Gas-to-Energy plant is in the works, which aims to double Guyana’s energy output while reducing power bills. 

The second strategy proposed by Mao’s review is the establishment and diversification of a sovereign wealth fund. This approach, he believes, offers dual advantages. Firstly, it ensures transparency as the fund’s accounts are made public, allowing Guyanese citizens to monitor the government’s use of oil revenues, thereby guarding against corruption.

Fifth withdrawal this year from Guyana’s oil fund takes total to US$650 million | OilNOW

Secondly, he posited that a diverse sovereign wealth fund can transform excess oil windfalls into sustainable growth that is independent of oil. This is crucial to safeguard Guyana’s financial stability in case its oil reserves run dry or global oil prices plummet. Mao noted that Norway serves as an exemplary model, boasting a sovereign wealth fund valued at over US$1.3 trillion, which significantly contributes to its government budget and social welfare programs.

While Guyana has taken the initial step of establishing its own sovereign wealth fund, Mao said it faces challenges, including the fund’s management by a single political party, which has the potential to ignite ethnic tensions. Nevertheless, he noted the fund’s establishment as a positive development for the nation.

Additional positive signs highlighted in Mao’s review include Guyana’s participation in the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, demonstrating its commitment to transparency in resource rights and oil revenue utilisation. Furthermore, Mao said a significant legal milestone was achieved in May 2023 when a Guyanese court ruled that Exxon must provide an “unlimited guarantee” to cover potential oil spill costs. However, the ruling has been appealed, and is pending determination by a higher court.

Mao’s review acknowledged the persistent obstacles associated with an oil boom, including the resource curse, wealth inequality, and environmental risks. However, it underscores that Guyana’s newfound oil wealth presents an opportunity to lift its citizens out of poverty and into prosperity. The review’s message is clear: with careful planning and precautionary measures, the promise of a golden Guyana can become a reality.

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